Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021520 0.023180 0.024908 0.026842 0.028947 0.031172 0.033704
2025-12-14 0.018585 0.020944 0.023528 0.026573 0.030072 0.033977 0.038679
2025-12-21 0.016821 0.019600 0.022760 0.026633 0.031269 0.036664 0.043451
2025-12-28 0.015411 0.018443 0.021996 0.026491 0.032054 0.038756 0.047498
2026-01-04 0.014343 0.017560 0.021430 0.026458 0.032866 0.040820 0.051535
2026-01-11 0.013516 0.016885 0.021030 0.026549 0.033768 0.042975 0.055748
2026-01-18 0.012784 0.016261 0.020629 0.026574 0.034536 0.044948 0.059787
2026-01-25 0.012202 0.015782 0.020366 0.026733 0.035451 0.047122 0.064185
2026-02-01 0.011521 0.015124 0.019818 0.026459 0.035737 0.048423 0.067409
2026-02-08 0.010849 0.014438 0.019188 0.026021 0.035745 0.049308 0.070052
2026-02-15 0.010330 0.013927 0.018760 0.025827 0.036067 0.050625 0.073368
2026-02-22 0.009831 0.013417 0.018303 0.025558 0.036248 0.051725 0.076397
2026-03-01 0.009376 0.012961 0.017920 0.025404 0.036631 0.053205 0.080207
2026-03-08 0.008929 0.012498 0.017505 0.025181 0.036901 0.054535 0.083885
2026-03-15 0.008602 0.012189 0.017293 0.025243 0.037593 0.056534 0.088747
2026-03-22 0.008245 0.011817 0.016969 0.025110 0.037967 0.058042 0.092886
2026-03-29 0.007943 0.011511 0.016724 0.025080 0.038489 0.059800 0.097542
2026-04-05 0.007693 0.011270 0.016563 0.025165 0.039192 0.061875 0.102863
2026-04-12 0.007444 0.011019 0.016371 0.025189 0.039786 0.063795 0.108025
2026-04-19 0.007242 0.010829 0.016264 0.025338 0.040589 0.066098 0.114015
2026-04-26 0.006957 0.010497 0.015920 0.025081 0.040689 0.067193 0.117869
2026-05-03 0.006654 0.010125 0.015495 0.024668 0.040497 0.067763 0.120768
2026-05-10 0.006420 0.009853 0.015217 0.024486 0.040690 0.069012 0.125022